Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Strickland has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dricus Du Plessis (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Israel Adesanya · Sep 23L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26 Dricus Du Plessis
oldest →W
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 23W
SUBvs Israel Adesanya · Aug 24W
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25W
DECvs Kamaru Usman · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean StricklandMetricDricus Du Plessis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.45evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean StricklandDricus Du Plessis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Strickland(10 fights)Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.7|Blue +11.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean StricklandTargetDricus Du Plessis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Dricus Du Plessis rounds
Round 1Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 2Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 3Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:18Control
Round 5Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes53
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
