Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lucas Alexander enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steven Peterson
oldest →L
vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19W
vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21L
vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22 Lucas AlexanderL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Oct 22L
KOvs Jeka Saragih · Nov 23L
KOvs Bogdan Grad · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steven PetersonMetricLucas Alexander
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.18Δ 3.00 — meaningful gap+1.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Steven PetersonLucas Alexander
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steven Peterson(8 fights)Lucas Alexander(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.7|Blue +29.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +252.0|Blue -252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Steven PetersonTargetLucas Alexander
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lucas Alexander edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Lucas Alexander edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 3Lucas Alexander edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:28
Knockdowns0
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
