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Featherweight

3 Rounds

David Onama won · U-DEC R3

Elo1477

Elo1513

Giga ChikadzevsDavid OnamaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

David Onama won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGiga Chikadze: StrikervsDavid Onama: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: David Onama wins(68.5%)

Actual result: David Onama wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

David Onama at -198 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Giga Chikadze

Red Corner

David Onama

Blue Corner

+166

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-198

(66%)

1477

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Giga ChikadzeL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Edson Barboza · Aug 21

vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22

vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23

vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25

latest

David Onama

oldest →

vs Nate Landwehr · Aug 22

KOvs Gabriel Santos · Jun 23

vs Jonathan Pearce · Apr 24

vs Roberto Romero · Nov 24

KOvs Steve Garcia · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Giga ChikadzeMetricDavid Onama

3.75

Strikes / min

5.07

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

4.89

59%

Strike defense

51%

0.18

TDs / 15 min

1.05

65%

Takedown defense

52%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Giga ChikadzeDavid Onama

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Giga Chikadze(10 fights)David Onama(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -35.9|Blue +35.9

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Giga ChikadzeTargetDavid Onama

By target zone

35% acc · 53%

Head

53% acc · 59%

73% acc · 19%

Body

17% acc · 2%

86% acc · 28%

Leg

73% acc · 39%

By position

45% acc · 93%

Distance

51% acc · 78%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

91% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Giga Chikadze rounds

even

David Onama rounds

Round 1Giga Chikadze edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2David Onama edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:07Control

Round 3David Onama edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 91

Sig Strikes

49 / 87

47.3%

Sig Str %

56%

71 / 127

Total Strikes

72 / 127

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 3

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

6:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	David Onama	13 / 26	13 / 30	1 / 1
1	Giga Chikadze	21 / 43	26 / 48	0 / 0
2	David Onama	18 / 32	28 / 43	1 / 1
2	Giga Chikadze	11 / 20	19 / 29	0 / 0
3	David Onama	18 / 29	31 / 54	1 / 1
3	Giga Chikadze	11 / 28	26 / 50	0 / 0

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

David Onama

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9