Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marco Beltran has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marlon Vera has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marco BeltranL2 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Ning Guangyou · Nov 15W
SUBvs Reginaldo Vieira · Jul 16L
vs Matt Schnell · Oct 17 Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marco BeltranMetricMarlon Vera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.14Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.16
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marco Beltran(5 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -112.5|Blue +112.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marco BeltranTargetMarlon Vera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marco Beltran edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:52
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 2Marco Beltran edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control2:03
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:39Control
Round 3Marlon Vera edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:51
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
