Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jesse Forbes has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jesse Forbes (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jesse ForbesNo prior UFC fights on record.
Ryan JensenL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 10L
SUBvs Jason MacDonald · Apr 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jesse ForbesMetricRyan Jensen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.95Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jesse ForbesRyan Jensen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jesse Forbes(1 fights)Ryan Jensen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.1|Blue -139.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jesse ForbesTargetRyan Jensen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jesse Forbes edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:34
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
