Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Waldo Cortes Acosta
oldest →W
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 25L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25W
KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25L
DECvs Alexander Volkov · May 26 Derrick Lewis
oldest →W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Waldo Cortes AcostaMetricDerrick Lewis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.71Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Waldo Cortes AcostaDerrick Lewis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Waldo Cortes Acosta(10 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +80.2|Blue -80.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Waldo Cortes AcostaTargetDerrick Lewis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Waldo Cortes Acosta rounds
Round 1Waldo Cortes Acosta edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:16
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Waldo Cortes Acosta edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
