Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Belal Muhammad has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan Jouban
oldest →L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20 Belal MuhammadL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25L
DECvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan JoubanMetricBelal Muhammad
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.90Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Jouban(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.8|Blue -13.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alan JoubanTargetBelal Muhammad
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alan Jouban edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control1:35
Knockdowns2
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:07Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Alan Jouban edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:33Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Belal Muhammad edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:02
57Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
