Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maria Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gloria de Paula has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gloria de Paula has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Maria OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Oct 21L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Nov 22L
vs Diana Belbita · Jun 23 Gloria de Paula
oldest →L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Mar 21L
KOvs Cheyanne Buys · Jul 21W
vs Diana Belbita · Feb 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Maria OliveiraMetricGloria de Paula
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.73Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Maria OliveiraGloria de Paula
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Maria Oliveira(4 fights)Gloria de Paula(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -31.4|Blue +31.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Maria OliveiraTargetGloria de Paula
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Maria Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:22
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Gloria de Paula edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
41Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:23Control
Round 3Maria Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns2
Control1:13
35Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
