Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shawn Jordan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Ruslan Magomedov has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Shawn Jordan (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shawn JordanW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Oct 13L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Mar 14W
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jan 15W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 15 Ruslan MagomedovW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Viktor Pesta · May 14W
vs Josh Copeland · Nov 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shawn JordanMetricRuslan Magomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.43Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap+2.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shawn JordanRuslan Magomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shawn Jordan(10 fights)Ruslan Magomedov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -196.0|Blue +196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shawn JordanTargetRuslan Magomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ruslan Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:24
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Ruslan Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:22
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 3Ruslan Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:10
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
