Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19 Stevie Ray
oldest →L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricStevie Ray
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.55Δ 3.35 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe LauzonStevie Ray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Stevie Ray(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -57.0|Blue +57.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe LauzonTargetStevie Ray
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Lauzon edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns3
Control4:27
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Stevie Ray edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:56
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Stevie Ray edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control1:49
77Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
