Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dhiego LimaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18L
vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21L
KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 21 Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dhiego LimaMetricTim Means
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.76Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dhiego LimaTim Means
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dhiego Lima(10 fights)Tim Means(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -89.1|Blue +89.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.7|Blue +2.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dhiego LimaTargetTim Means
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Means edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
