Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Krause has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- James Krause has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Claudio Silva (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claudio SilvaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Nordine Taleb · May 18W
SUBvs Danny Roberts · Mar 19W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Aug 19L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 22 James Krause
oldest →W
vs Tom Gallicchio · Jul 17W
KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18W
KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19L
vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claudio SilvaMetricJames Krause
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Claudio SilvaJames Krause
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claudio Silva(8 fights)James Krause(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -62.0|Blue +62.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +189.0|Blue -189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Claudio SilvaTargetJames Krause
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control0:58
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 2James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
