Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ben Saunders enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jake Ellenberger is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Ben Saunders has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Jake Ellenberger has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ben Saunders has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake EllenbergerL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Jan 16W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Dec 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18 Ben SaundersL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 18L
SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19L
KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake EllenbergerMetricBen Saunders
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.36evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake EllenbergerBen Saunders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.6|Blue +11.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +308.0|Blue -308.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake EllenbergerTargetBen Saunders
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ben Saunders edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:40
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
