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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Axel Sola won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1526
Elo1525
Axel Sola

Fares ZiamvsAxel SolaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Official fight result

Axel Sola won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:40

Style matchupFares Ziam: Well-roundedvsAxel Sola: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Fares Ziam has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Fares Ziam
Red Corner
VS
Axel Sola
Blue Corner
-156
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1526
Elo
1525
29
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Fares Ziam
oldest →
W
vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24
W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24
W
vs Mike Davis · Feb 25
W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25
L
DECvs Tom Nolan · Jun 26
latest
Axel Sola
oldest →
W
KOvs Rhys McKee · Sep 25
L
vs Mason Jones · Mar 26
W
SUBvs Ismael Bonfim · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Fares ZiamMetricAxel Sola
2.87
Strikes / min
4.07
1.53
Strikes absorbed / min
5.29
65%
Strike defense
61%
1.73
TDs / 15 min
2.22
71%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.34Δ 2.56 — meaningful gap-1.22
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Fares Ziam(10 fights)Axel Sola(3 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Fares ZiamTargetAxel Sola

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
7
70% acc · 78%
2
100% acc · 29%
Body
2
67% acc · 22%
5
83% acc · 71%
Leg
0

By position

7
54% acc · 100%
Distance
6
60% acc · 67%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
3
100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Fares Ziam rounds
0
even
1
Axel Sola rounds
Round 1Axel Sola edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
7 / 13
Sig Strikes
9 / 13
53%
Sig Str %
69%
7 / 13
Total Strikes
9 / 13
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Axel Sola9 / 139 / 130 / 00
1Fares Ziam7 / 137 / 130 / 00

Fares Ziam

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12

Axel Sola

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4