Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fredy Serrano is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Hector Sandoval has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector Sandoval
oldest →L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Jul 16W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Apr 17L
KOvs Dustin Ortiz · Aug 17 Fredy Serrano
oldest →W
KOvs Bentley Syler · Mar 15W
KOvs Yao Zhikui · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector SandovalMetricFredy Serrano
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.98Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hector SandovalFredy Serrano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Sandoval(4 fights)Fredy Serrano(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +132.0|Blue -132.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hector SandovalTargetFredy Serrano
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hector Sandoval edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:48
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Hector Sandoval edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:10
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 3Hector Sandoval edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:41
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
