Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ian HeinischL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Antonio Carlos Junior · May 19L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jun 20L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21 Omari Akhmedov
oldest →W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19L
DECvs Chris Weidman · Aug 20W
SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ian HeinischMetricOmari Akhmedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ian HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ian Heinisch(7 fights)Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -89.1|Blue +89.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ian HeinischTargetOmari Akhmedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:51
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 3Ian Heinisch edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns2
Control1:38
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
