Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Ronny Markes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Yoel Romero has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ronny Markes has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ronny Markes
oldest →W
vs Karlos Vemola · Aug 11W
vs Aaron Simpson · Feb 12W
vs Andrew Craig · Jan 13L
KOvs Thiago Santos · Mar 14 Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ronny MarkesMetricYoel Romero
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ronny MarkesYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ronny Markes(5 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -28.6|Blue +28.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ronny MarkesTargetYoel Romero
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control0:48
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 3Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
