Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert Whittaker
oldest →W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26 Yoel RomeroL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 16L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricYoel Romero
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Robert WhittakerYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +129.5|Blue -129.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Robert WhittakerTargetYoel Romero
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:37
Knockdowns0
36Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:11Control
1Knockdowns
Round 4Robert Whittaker edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:10Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
