Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shara Magomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Page has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Page (52.9%).
- Michael Page has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shara MagomedovW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Antonio Trocoli · Jun 24W
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 24W
KOvs Armen Petrosyan · Oct 24W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jul 25W
DECvs Michel Pereira · Jun 26 Michael PageW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Jun 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 25W
vs Sam Patterson · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shara MagomedovMetricMichael Page
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.08Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shara MagomedovMichael Page
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shara Magomedov(7 fights)Michael Page(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shara MagomedovTargetMichael Page
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Page edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 2Michael Page edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 3Shara Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:40
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
