Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matt Frevola is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Terrance McKinney has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Terrance McKinney is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Matt Frevola has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Matt Frevola has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Terrance McKinney has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt FrevolaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Nov 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 23L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Sep 24 Terrance McKinney
oldest →W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26L
KOvs King Green · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt FrevolaMetricTerrance McKinney
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46Δ 3.54 — meaningful gap+3.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt FrevolaTerrance McKinney
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Frevola(10 fights)Terrance McKinney(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -20.5|Blue +20.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt FrevolaTargetTerrance McKinney
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Terrance McKinney rounds
Round 1Terrance McKinney edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
