Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Omielanczuk enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Omielanczuk is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Daniel Omielanczuk has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Omielanczuk (53.5%).
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22 Daniel OmielanczukL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Jul 15W
vs Jarjis Danho · Feb 16L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 16L
DECvs Tim Johnson · Mar 17L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Jul 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricDaniel Omielanczuk
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aleksei OleinikDaniel Omielanczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Daniel Omielanczuk(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +134.3|Blue -134.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +462.0|Blue -462.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aleksei OleinikTargetDaniel Omielanczuk
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Daniel Omielanczuk rounds
Round 1Aleksei Oleinik edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control4:51
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Daniel Omielanczuk edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control1:47
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:33Control
Round 3Daniel Omielanczuk edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control2:47
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
