Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Nolan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Nolan (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor Martinez
oldest →L
KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Feb 23 Tom NolanW4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jan 24W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Feb 25W
SUBvs Charlie Campbell · Sep 25W
DECvs Fares Ziam · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor MartinezMetricTom Nolan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.28evenly matched on net striking+1.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Victor MartinezTom Nolan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Martinez(2 fights)Tom Nolan(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -71.0|Blue +71.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +322.0|Blue -322.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Victor MartinezTargetTom Nolan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tom Nolan edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:48
Knockdowns1
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
