Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Davis enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Randy Costa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brandon Davis threatens submissions; Randy Costa has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Randy Costa (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon DavisL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Sep 18L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 19L
vs Giga Chikadze · Sep 19L
KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Oct 21L
vs Mana Martinez · Oct 22 Randy CostaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Boston Salmon · Oct 19W
KOvs Journey Newson · Sep 20L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 21L
KOvs Tony Kelley · Dec 21L
SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon DavisMetricRandy Costa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon DavisRandy Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Davis(9 fights)Randy Costa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.2|Blue +47.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon DavisTargetRandy Costa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Randy Costa edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control1:08
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Randy Costa edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:08
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
