Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov threatens submissions; Neil Magny has lost 46% of fights by sub.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25 Shavkat RakhmonovW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Jun 21W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Feb 22W
SUBvs Geoff Neal · Mar 23W
SUBvs Stephen Thompson · Dec 23W
vs Ian Machado Garry · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricShavkat Rakhmonov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96evenly matched on net striking+1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Neil MagnyShavkat Rakhmonov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Shavkat Rakhmonov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -16.7|Blue +16.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Neil MagnyTargetShavkat Rakhmonov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Shavkat Rakhmonov rounds
Round 1Shavkat Rakhmonov edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:43Control
Round 2Shavkat Rakhmonov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:07
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
