Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chase Hooper threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Jordan Leavitt has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chase Hooper has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase Hooper
oldest →W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25L
KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26W
SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26 Jordan Leavitt
oldest →L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 22W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase HooperMetricJordan Leavitt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.48evenly matched on net striking+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chase HooperJordan Leavitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Hooper(10 fights)Jordan Leavitt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +18.9|Blue -18.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chase HooperTargetJordan Leavitt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jordan Leavitt edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:57
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
