Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Daukaus enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rodrigo Nascimento has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Daukaus has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Rodrigo Nascimento has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris DaukausL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Dec 21L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23 Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris DaukausMetricRodrigo Nascimento
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.41Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris DaukausRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Daukaus(8 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.4|Blue +29.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris DaukausTargetRodrigo Nascimento
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Rodrigo Nascimento rounds
Round 1Chris Daukaus edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:24
Knockdowns2
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
