Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karl Roberson has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Karl Roberson (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karl RobersonL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19L
SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22 Wellington TurmanL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 22L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22L
SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karl RobersonMetricWellington Turman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.15Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Karl RobersonWellington Turman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karl Roberson(10 fights)Wellington Turman(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -55.8|Blue +55.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Karl RobersonTargetWellington Turman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Wellington Turman rounds
Round 1Karl Roberson edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control3:14
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 2Karl Roberson edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:54
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 3Wellington Turman edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:40
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
