Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Luana Pinheiro has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle Waterson-GomezL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 22L
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · Sep 23L
vs Gillian Robertson · Jun 24 Luana PinheiroL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Nov 23L
SUBvs Angela Hill · May 24L
vs Gillian Robertson · Nov 24L
vs Tecia Pennington · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle Waterson-GomezMetricLuana Pinheiro
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.83evenly matched on net striking-0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michelle Waterson-GomezLuana Pinheiro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Waterson-Gomez(4 fights)Luana Pinheiro(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.1|Blue -5.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -238.0|Blue +238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michelle Waterson-GomezTargetLuana Pinheiro
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Michelle Waterson-Gomez rounds
Round 1Michelle Waterson-Gomez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Round 3Michelle Waterson-Gomez edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control1:01
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
