Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Amanda Nunes enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Amanda Nunes has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda NunesW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Dec 19W
vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21W
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 22W
vs Irene Aldana · Jun 23 Julianna Pena
oldest →L
SUBvs Germaine de Randamie · Oct 20W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda NunesMetricJulianna Pena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.93Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Amanda NunesJulianna Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Nunes(10 fights)Julianna Pena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.1|Blue -5.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Amanda NunesTargetJulianna Pena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control3:35
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:00
74Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:17Control
