Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Royval threatens submissions; Tim Elliott has lost 42% of fights by sub.
- Tim Elliott has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim Elliott
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25L
DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26 Brandon Royval
oldest →W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25W
SUBvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim ElliottMetricBrandon Royval
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.51evenly matched on net striking+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tim ElliottBrandon Royval
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Elliott(10 fights)Brandon Royval(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.5|Blue +10.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.1|Blue +47.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tim ElliottTargetBrandon Royval
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns3
Control3:08
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control0:53
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:40Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
