Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rob Broughton has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Philip De Fries has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Philip De Fries has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rob Broughton
oldest →W
SUBvs Vinicius Queiroz · Oct 10L
vs Travis Browne · Sep 11 Philip De FriesL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Feb 12W
SUBvs Oli Thompson · Aug 12L
KOvs Todd Duffee · Dec 12L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Apr 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rob BroughtonMetricPhilip De Fries
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rob BroughtonPhilip De Fries
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rob Broughton(3 fights)Philip De Fries(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.7|Blue +47.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rob BroughtonTargetPhilip De Fries
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Philip De Fries edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:24Control
Round 2Rob Broughton edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control2:41
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:10Control
Round 3Philip De Fries edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
