Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jussier Formiga has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jussier Formiga has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jussier Formiga has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20 Ray Borg
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricRay Borg
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jussier FormigaRay Borg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Ray Borg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -107.5|Blue +107.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +97.0|Blue -97.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jussier FormigaTargetRay Borg
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:03
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:10
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:44Control
Round 3Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control2:11
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:39Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
