Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22 Kevin Holland
oldest →W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricKevin Holland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.15evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago SantosKevin Holland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Kevin Holland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -77.6|Blue +77.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago SantosTargetKevin Holland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control3:46
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control2:05
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:10Control
Round 3Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control3:49
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
