Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Hamill has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Silva
oldest →L
vs Alexander Gustafsson · Apr 12W
KOvs Rafael Feijao · Jun 13 Matt Hamill
oldest →W
vs Keith Jardine · Jun 10L
DECvs Rampage Jackson · May 11L
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Aug 11W
vs Roger Hollett · Sep 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SilvaMetricMatt Hamill
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.37Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago SilvaMatt Hamill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Silva(3 fights)Matt Hamill(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -259.0|Blue +259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago SilvaTargetMatt Hamill
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Hamill edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Thiago Silva edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:20
Knockdowns1
30Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:39Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Thiago Silva edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:26
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
