Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →W
SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 24W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26W
DECvs Christian Edwards · May 26 Ion Cutelaba
oldest →L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Modestas BukauskasMetricIon Cutelaba
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.81Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Modestas BukauskasIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +40.6|Blue -40.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Modestas BukauskasTargetIon Cutelaba
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Modestas Bukauskas rounds
Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:24
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control1:02
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:23Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
