Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22W
vs Cody Stamann · May 23L
KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26 Renan BaraoL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Phillipe Nover · Sep 16L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricRenan Barao
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.55evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Douglas Silva de AndradeRenan Barao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Renan Barao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +106.2|Blue -106.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Douglas Silva de AndradeTargetRenan Barao
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:28
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 2Renan Barao edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 3Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
