Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aljamain SterlingW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25W
DECvs Youssef Zalal · Apr 26 Brett JohnsW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Albert Morales · Jul 17L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 18W
SUBvs Tony Gravely · Jan 20W
vs Montel Jackson · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aljamain SterlingMetricBrett Johns
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.11Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap-0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aljamain SterlingBrett Johns
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)Brett Johns(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +31.6|Blue -31.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -8.0|Blue +8.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aljamain SterlingTargetBrett Johns
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Aljamain Sterling rounds
Round 1Aljamain Sterling edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:23
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:35Control
Round 2Aljamain Sterling edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns1
Control0:58
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:31Control
Round 3Aljamain Sterling edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns2
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
