Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25 Dan HookerL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22W
vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24L
SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricDan Hooker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edson BarbozaDan Hooker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Dan Hooker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.3|Blue +4.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edson BarbozaTargetDan Hooker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes63
Takedowns0
Control1:12
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:31
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
