Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22 Maurice GreeneL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Junior Albini · Jun 19L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Oct 19W
SUBvs Gian Villante · Jun 20L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Oct 20L
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricMaurice Greene
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Maurice Greene(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +95.0|Blue -95.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aleksei OleinikTargetMaurice Greene
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Aleksei Oleinik edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns2
Control4:13
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 2Aleksei Oleinik edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:12
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
