Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kron Gracie enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kron Gracie threatens submissions; Alex Caceres has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Alex Caceres has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex Caceres has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24 Kron GracieL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Charles Jourdain · May 23L
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricKron Gracie
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.12Δ 3.90 — meaningful gap-2.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex CaceresKron Gracie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Kron Gracie(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.7|Blue -15.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.6|Blue +47.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex CaceresTargetKron Gracie
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kron Gracie edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
