Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Boetsch is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Todd Brown has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Todd Brown
oldest →L
KOvs Igor Pokrajac · Mar 11 Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Todd BrownMetricTim Boetsch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.70Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Todd BrownTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Todd Brown(2 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -20.3|Blue +20.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Todd BrownTargetTim Boetsch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Boetsch edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:37
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:45Control
Round 2Tim Boetsch edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:54
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Tim Boetsch edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:41
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
