Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlton Minus
oldest →L
vs Christos Giagos · Dec 20 Matthew SemelsbergerL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
vs Preston Parsons · Jan 24L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlton MinusMetricMatthew Semelsberger
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.47evenly matched on net striking-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carlton MinusMatthew Semelsberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlton Minus(2 fights)Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -94.4|Blue +94.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carlton MinusTargetMatthew Semelsberger
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Matthew Semelsberger rounds
Round 1Matthew Semelsberger edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
43Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Matthew Semelsberger edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:54Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Matthew Semelsberger edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns0
Control0:00
46Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
