Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benoit Saint Denis threatens submissions; Niklas Stolze has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Benoit Saint Denis has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Niklas Stolze (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niklas StolzeL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ramazan Emeev · Jul 20L
KOvs Jared Gooden · Jul 21 Benoit Saint Denis
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niklas StolzeMetricBenoit Saint Denis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.13Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Niklas StolzeBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niklas Stolze(3 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -120.5|Blue +120.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Niklas StolzeTargetBenoit Saint Denis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Benoit Saint Denis rounds
Round 1Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:34Control
Round 2Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
