Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (54.1%).
- Montel Jackson has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian KelleherL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24 Montel JacksonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23W
KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24W
vs Daniel Marcos · May 25L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25L
DECvs Raoni Barcelos · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian KelleherMetricMontel Jackson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.28Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brian KelleherMontel Jackson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Kelleher(10 fights)Montel Jackson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.6|Blue +10.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brian KelleherTargetMontel Jackson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Montel Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:05
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
