Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cody Stamann has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody StamannL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22W
vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24 Brian KelleherL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody StamannMetricBrian Kelleher
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cody StamannBrian Kelleher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Stamann(10 fights)Brian Kelleher(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.9|Blue -2.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +438.0|Blue -438.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cody StamannTargetBrian Kelleher
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cody Stamann edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:05
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cody Stamann edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns1
Control1:28
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 3Cody Stamann edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control0:15
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
