Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Neil Magny has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon ManleyNo prior UFC fights on record.
Neil Magny
oldest →L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon ManleyMetricNeil Magny
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-3.20Δ 4.16 — meaningful gap+0.96
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Manley(1 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -15.2|Blue +15.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon ManleyTargetNeil Magny
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:27
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
Round 2Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:02
24Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:12Control
Round 3Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:59
22Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
