Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Fremd threatens submissions; Anthony Hernandez has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Anthony Hernandez has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Hernandez
oldest →W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Brendan Allen · Feb 25W
SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26 Josh FremdL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Tresean Gore · Oct 22W
SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Aug 23L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 23L
vs Andre Petroski · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony HernandezMetricJosh Fremd
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.47Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)Josh Fremd(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +34.9|Blue -34.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony HernandezTargetJosh Fremd
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Anthony Hernandez rounds
Round 1Anthony Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns4
Control4:12
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control1:42
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:37Control
Round 3Anthony Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control4:51
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
