Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cory Sandhagen is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Marlon Moraes has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon MoraesL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jun 19L
KOvs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 21L
KOvs Song Yadong · Mar 22 Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon MoraesMetricCory Sandhagen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.16Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marlon MoraesCory Sandhagen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Moraes(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -65.1|Blue +65.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marlon MoraesTargetCory Sandhagen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:09
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
