Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Claudio Puelles threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Jordan Leavitt has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Claudio Puelles has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claudio PuellesL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Dec 21W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Apr 22L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Nov 22L
vs Joaquim Silva · Sep 25 Jordan Leavitt
oldest →W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claudio PuellesMetricJordan Leavitt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.08Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Claudio PuellesJordan Leavitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claudio Puelles(8 fights)Jordan Leavitt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -17.9|Blue +17.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +931.0|Blue -931.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Claudio PuellesTargetJordan Leavitt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jordan Leavitt edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns2
Control1:43
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:06Control
Round 2Claudio Puelles edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control3:41
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Claudio Puelles edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control4:37
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
