Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Billy Elekana won · SUB R1
Elo1544
Elo1483

Billy ElekanavsKevin ChristianUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Saturday, November 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Billy Elekana won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:33

Model Prediction: Billy Elekana wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Billy Elekana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Billy Elekana at -270 American odds

+$37 profit

$137 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kevin Christian has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Billy Elekana (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Billy Elekana
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Christian
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
1544
Elo
1483
31
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'7"
195.58 cm
Reach
203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Billy ElekanaW2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Jan 25
W
vs Ibo Aslan · Jul 25
W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Jan 26
latest
Kevin ChristianNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Billy ElekanaMetricKevin Christian
2.71
Strikes / min
2.19
3.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.54
46%
Strike defense
40%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1500Strikes2.7 vs 1.6Takedowns0.8 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.80 vs 2.30Form0.3 vs 0.0
Billy ElekanaKevin Christian

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701493151515381560← oldermost recent →
Billy Elekana(4 fights)Kevin Christian(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +60.8|Blue -60.8
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Billy ElekanaTargetKevin Christian

By target zone

11
73% acc · 65%
Head
0
0% acc
2
100% acc · 12%
Body
6
100% acc · 43%
4
67% acc · 24%
Leg
8
100% acc · 57%

By position

8
67% acc · 47%
Distance
14
82% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
9
82% acc · 53%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Billy Elekana rounds
0
even
0
Kevin Christian rounds
Round 1Billy Elekana edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:21
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
17 / 23
Sig Strikes
14 / 17
73%
Sig Str %
82%
19 / 25
Total Strikes
14 / 17
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:21
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kevin Christian14 / 1714 / 170 / 00
1Billy Elekana17 / 2319 / 250 / 01

Billy Elekana

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4

Kevin Christian

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights1